Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000249 0.000277 0.000308 0.000344 0.000385 0.000430 0.000482
2025-02-02 0.000202 0.000245 0.000295 0.000358 0.000438 0.000535 0.000661
2025-02-09 0.000167 0.000214 0.000273 0.000354 0.000463 0.000605 0.000807
2025-02-16 0.000145 0.000195 0.000262 0.000357 0.000494 0.000684 0.000972
2025-02-23 0.000127 0.000178 0.000248 0.000354 0.000513 0.000746 0.001123
2025-03-02 0.000115 0.000166 0.000240 0.000356 0.000538 0.000819 0.001299
2025-03-09 0.000104 0.000155 0.000231 0.000355 0.000558 0.000885 0.001471
2025-03-16 0.000092 0.000140 0.000214 0.000339 0.000551 0.000906 0.001571
2025-03-23 0.000085 0.000133 0.000209 0.000341 0.000573 0.000978 0.001770
2025-03-30 0.000081 0.000131 0.000211 0.000354 0.000616 0.001090 0.002063
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000122 0.000201 0.000346 0.000619 0.001132 0.002225
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000111 0.000186 0.000328 0.000602 0.001131 0.002300
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000106 0.000183 0.000331 0.000626 0.001218 0.002580
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000105 0.000186 0.000346 0.000677 0.001366 0.003030
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000100 0.000179 0.000343 0.000689 0.001435 0.003312
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000096 0.000176 0.000346 0.000715 0.001540 0.003703
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000091 0.000171 0.000343 0.000728 0.001615 0.004034
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000088 0.000168 0.000345 0.000752 0.001721 0.004471
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000085 0.000164 0.000344 0.000768 0.001811 0.004887
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000078 0.000154 0.000328 0.000749 0.001809 0.005034
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000076 0.000152 0.000330 0.000772 0.001919 0.005544
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000076 0.000154 0.000343 0.000824 0.002116 0.006376
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000072 0.000148 0.000335 0.000822 0.002164 0.006737